Column: Excellent news for Gavin Newsom — California is not the place it was in 2003

Column:  Good news for Gavin Newsom — California is no longer the place it was in 2003

2021-05-04 17:30:48

Quite a bit has occurred in 18 years. A conflict in Iraq. Two impeachments. 4 presidents.5 “Pirates of the Caribbean” films.

And right here we’re once more going through a gubernatorial recall election, the second in California historical past and solely the fourth tried anyplace within the U.S. (Whereas it’s not official, a fall referendum on the way forward for Gavin Newsom is about as possible because the water provide dwindling between now and September.)

California is a a lot totally different place than it was in 2003, the final time voters determined whether or not to offer the state’s chief government the heave-ho.

The inhabitants is older than it was, housing prices are greater and hundreds of thousands extra individuals reside right here. (Exodus, schmexodus). Maybe most important, California has grow to be significantly extra Democratic.

Each election is totally different. So, too, are the roots of the 2 recall efforts

Democrat Grey Davis was blamed for mishandling an electrical energy disaster that, it seems, was brought about in good half by profiteers and corrupt Texas power merchants. (It didn’t assist that Davis was not significantly well-liked to start with and solely grudgingly received a second time period.)

Newsom’s circumstances are totally different. He was elected in a landslide and stood on politically stable floor till lockdowns and the upheaval attributable to COVID-19 catalyzed efforts to power a vote on the Democrat’s efficiency a yr forward of the often scheduled 2022 election.

One fixed: the French Laundry restaurant remains to be catering to the wealthy and epicurean, because it did 18 years in the past, although nobody cared again then if a politician confirmed up for a masks-off party. Newsom’s ill-considered November go to is what pushed the languishing recall drive into excessive gear.

Again in 2003, the French Laundry was only a restaurant and never a political catalyst.

(Christopher Reynolds / Los Angeles Occasions )

Right here’s a statistical snapshot of California then and now, displaying how a lot the state has modified for the reason that final recall election. Some statistics are for 2019 or 2020, the final years for which full knowledge can be found.

A shoutout to of us on the state Division of Finance for his or her analysis help.

Inhabitants:

2003: 35 million

White non-Latino, 45%; Latino 34%; Asian American/Pacific Islander, 12%

2021: 40 million

White non-Latino, 38%; Latino 40%; Asian American/Pacific Islander, 14%

2003: 34

2021: 38

2003: 28

2021: 31

Registered voters

2003: 15 million

44% D, 35% R, 21% Decline To State/Different

2021: 22 million

46% D, 24% R, 30% No Get together Desire/Different

Governor

2003: Grey Davis, Democrat (reelected November 2002, 47%)

2021: Gavin Newsom, Democrat (elected November 2018, 62%)

Statewide elected officers (eight)

2003: D 7, R 1

2021: D 8, R 0

Congressional delegation (53 members)

2003: D 33, R 20

2021: D 42, R 11

State Senate (40 members)

2003: 25 D, 15 R

2021: 31 D, 9 R

State Meeting (80 members)

2003: 48 D, 32 R

2021: 58 D, 19 R, 1 impartial, 2 vacancies

Financial rating, worldwide

2003: seventh largest

2019: fifth largest

Unemployment

2003: 6.9%

2020: 10.2%

2003: $371,520

2020: $659,380

Hollywood Heights neighborhood of Los Angeles

The median sale worth for a house in California was $659,380 in 2020, although neighborhoods like Hollywood Heights are a lot pricier.

(Myung J. Chun / Los Angeles Occasions)

Minimal wage

2003: $6.25 an hour

2021: $14 an hour ($13 for companies with 25 or fewer staff)

2003: $60,978

2019: $73,226

Common worth of gasoline

2003: $1.83 gallon

2020: $3.05

Common commute time (minutes)

2003: 27

2019: 31

Largest companies (Fortune 500, ranked by annual income)

2003: ChevronTexaco; Hewlett Packard; McKesson; Safeway; Wells Fargo

2020: Apple; Alphabet (Google); Chevron; Wells Fargo, Intel

Oscar, greatest image

2003: “Chicago”

2021: “Nomadland”

Actress Francis McDormand

Frances McDormand settle for Finest Actress Oscar for her function in “Nomadland.”

(A.M.P.A.S.)

Largest home field workplace Hit

2003: “Discovering Nemo”: $339,714,184

2021: “Godzilla vs Kong”: $90,300,000 (by means of Sunday)

Grammy, music of the yr

2003: “Don’t Know Why”

2021: “I Can’t Breathe”


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