How exit polls shifted in 2016 and 2020



Trump misplaced the assist of many White males, a bunch he gained decisively in 2016 and by much less so in 2020. But the larger story for Democrats — and the explanation they had been unable to carry out higher in opposition to the President — is that Biden narrowly underperformed Clinton’s margin of victory amongst voters of coloration, who all broke decisively for Biden, however by smaller margins than Clinton gained them. Most alarming for Democrats is Trump’s efficiency amongst Latinos. It helped him hold Florida, which has many Cuban-Americans and Puerto Ricans. But he trailed in Arizona, which has extra Mexican-Americans.



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